TY - BOOK
ID - 20295
TI - Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370
AU - Sam Davey
AU - Neil Gordon
AU - Ian Holland
AU - Mark Rutten
AU - Jason Williams
PY - 2016
VL -
IS -
SP - 114
EP -
JO -
SN - 2191-8112
AB -
This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean.The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraftâ€™s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.
ER -